KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic by 9.0% or more 21%+2.0%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$25.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 20, 26, 6:00 PMMay 6, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic by 9.0% or more21%
Volume trend
$3.0kJul 43d of dataJul 8
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If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.