KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 8.4% (99%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 10:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
8.4%Won
Below 8.3%Lost
8.3%Lost
8.5%Lost
8.6%Lost
8.7%Lost
8.8%Lost
8.9%Lost
Above 8.9%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:VoteHub
Rules for each outcome
- 8.4%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 8.3%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.3%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.5%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.6%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.7%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.8%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.9%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.9%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.9% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.