KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jho Low 89%Leader of 52 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$86.3
Liquidity
$199.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 18, 25, 3:00 PMJan 21, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date.
- The pardon can be for any federal crime.
- Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion.
- State-level pardons do not count.
- The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
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- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will Trump pardon??
- Kalshi prices Jho Low at 89% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Who will Trump pardon? resolve?
- Who will Trump pardon? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Who will Trump pardon? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.