KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityEric Trump 47%+3.0%Leader of 52 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$171.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 51.0%
Spread
8.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 8, 26, 9:00 PMJan 21, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Eric Trump47%
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If Robin Smith has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date.
- The pardon can be for any federal crime.
- Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion.
- State-level pardons do not count.
- The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.