[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionAI2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAny Trump family member 80.3%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 3, 25, 5:09 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power
- Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025).
- The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.
- Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Puerto Rico officials do not count as state-level officials for the purposes of this market, as Puerto Rico is not a state.
- Update 2026-09-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term state-level is used to differentiate from local-level or federal-level and does not apply to state-like entities.