Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.9%
Forecasters
58
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 26, 25, 3:07 AM UTCFeb 22, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Luigi Mangione is charged in Federal Court on charges of Murder, Stalking, and Use of a Silencer.
- Will President Trump grant him a Presidential Pardon (either pre-emptive, partial, or full) before the end of his (theoretical) 4-year presidential term? (note: this market is exclusive of state charges [currently PA + NY], over which the federal government has little or no control) MAKE YOUR VOICE HEARD! BET YOUR CONSCIENCE!!
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029? resolve?
- Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029? is scheduled to resolve on February 22, 2029.
- How is Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Luigi Mangione is charged in Federal Court on charges of Murder, Stalking, and Use of a Silencer.