Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 96.8%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleDec 10, 24, 7:58 PM UTCDec 18, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)
- Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - If Luigi Mangione is found not guilty and is alive when sentencing would have occurred, market resolves YES (AI summary of creator comment)
Open markets
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- 2026+0.1pt5%
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- 24h Vol
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- Yes+3.0pt84.2%
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- 24h Vol
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- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 more outcomes
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- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? resolve?
- Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? is scheduled to resolve on December 18, 2026.
- How is Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2024-20-12 (PST): - Market will resolve either way (N/A or YES/NO) if Luigi Mangione is found not guilty (AI summary of creator comment)