PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$9.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
7
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 9:06 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Luigi Mangione attempt suicide at least once while in custody before his trial is over?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione Pre-Trial Prop Bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
