PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 61.4%+5.0pt
No 61.4%+5.0ptMarket quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$157.5K
Liquidity
$34.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
6
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 11:11 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any Democrat governor be charged with a felony by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, political commentator) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ted Cruz (American politician and attorney) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
PolymarketRules
In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York.
- Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.