What are the current odds for Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime by which date??

Manifold Markets prices November 30 at 32.6% as of October 22, 2026.

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime by which date?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

November 30 32.6%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

-17.4 pts

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Oct 14, 26, 6:22 AM UTCFeb 9, 27, 6:20 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market will resolve in concert with this Polymarket market: Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Polymarket rules: In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York.
Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and the named outcome, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law.