Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Alice Weidel 15%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$62.9
Low liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCAug 26, 29, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Der Bundeswahlleiter
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.
- A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, the named outcome resolves YES and every other market resolves NO If new elections are called before a government forms, the named outcome resolves YES immediately
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Kalshi prices Alice Weidel at 15% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? resolve?
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? is scheduled to resolve on August 26, 2029.
- How is Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.