Current community forecast
No 76.4%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 12, 26, 6:13 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ed Miliband becomes Chancellor of the Exchequer at any point before the end of 2029.
- Resolution will be verified through official UK government sources, specifically the GOV.UK Chancellor of the Exchequer page.
- The market resolves NO if Miliband does not hold this position by December 31, 2029.
- Ed Miliband currently serves as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero since July 2024.
- He was Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? resolve?
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria