PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 72%-12.0pt
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$372.3
Liquidity
$378.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
26.0% / 30.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
3
7d Change
+13.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 5:19 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed.
- Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count.
- Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 72% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? resolve?
- Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.