Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.2% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030? resolve?

Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

How is Will a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves yes if an AfD member serves as chancellor at any point prior to December 31, 2030

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