Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
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Stored price
Democratic Party 74.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Democratic Party 74.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6K
Open interest
$48.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Democratic PartySpread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Democratic Party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
Rules for each outcome
- Democratic Party
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican Party
- If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie
- If neither party holds more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 75%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 76%
