Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 58.3%-1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$246.1
Liquidity
$36.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Mar 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:state governments
- For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
- If neither party holds more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democratic Party is 56%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 56% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 56%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- Kalshi prices Democratic Party at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? resolve?
- Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.