Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms10d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
Democratic Party 76.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Democratic Party 76.8%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$468
Liquidity
$53.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Democratic PartySpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-10.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 7:27 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Democratic Party
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold MarketsWhat party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
MetaculusBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party, between the the named outcome and the the named outcome, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- If the the named outcome and the the named outcome hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected.
