KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Bob Brooks 86%+1.0pt
Bob Brooks 86%+1.0ptMarket quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$105.2
Open interest
$149.4K
High open interestBid / Ask
84.0% / 86.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for PA-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Bob Brooks
- If the House member sworn in for PA-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ryan Mackenzie
- If the House member sworn in for PA-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Bob Brooks (D) is 85%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Bob Brooks (D) 85% · 3 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — PA-07 House Election Winner · Bob Brooks (D) 86%
- Also available on Gemini — Pennsylvania-07 House Winner · Bob Brooks 85%