KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Janelle Stelson 79.2%
Janelle Stelson 79.2%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Open interest
$12.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for PA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Janelle Stelson
- If the House member sworn in for PA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Scott Perry
- If the House member sworn in for PA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Janelle Stelson (D) is 80%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Janelle Stelson (D) 80% · 3 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — PA-10 House Election Winner · Janelle Stelson (D) 80%
- Also available on Gemini — Pennsylvania-10 House Winner · Janelle Stelson 80%