KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Paige Cognetti 66%+1.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$291.9
Liquidity
$15K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
64.0% / 68.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the House member sworn in for PA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for PA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for PA-08 House winner??
- Kalshi prices Paige Cognetti at 66% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does PA-08 House winner? resolve?
- PA-08 House winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is PA-08 House winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the House member sworn in for PA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.