GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
John Mannion 97%
John Mannion 97%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
95.0% / 99.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:48 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New York-21 House Winner
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KalshiRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in New York-22?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NY-22, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — NY-22 House Election Winner · John Mannion (D) 98%
- Also available on Kalshi — NY-22 House winner? · John Mannion 98%
