KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJohn Mannion 92.2%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
94.2% / 94.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
John Mannion94%
Compare venues· John Mannion
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Low | 93% | — | $0 | $42K | 29 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $3.3K | 29 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
NY-22 House Election Winner
3mo
92.1%
7.9%
0%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.5K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.3k88.6%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? — YesSitsToPee11d ago
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? — YesSitsToPee11d agoVolume trend
$9Jul 175d of dataJul 23
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If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.