KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNick LaLota 63%-3.0%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$89
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
63.0% / 66.0%
Spread
4.8%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:09 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Nick LaLota63%
Compare venues· Nick LaLota
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Medium | 65% | — | $16 | $19.3K | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Medium | 63% | — | $89 | $7.2K | 8 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
NY-01 House Election Winner
3mo
65%
38%
0%
+5 more outcomes
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$33.2K
24h Vol$16
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$89Jul 28d of dataJul 9
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If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.