GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Cody Whipple 5%
Cody Whipple 5%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
1.0% / 9.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:48 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Cody Whipple5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsNevada-01 House Winner
GeminiNevada-03 House Winner
GeminiNevada 04 House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiNevada 03 House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiNevada 02 House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Nevada-04?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NV-04, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If Steven Horsford wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NV-04, then this market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — NV-04 House winner? · Steven Horsford 93%
- Also available on Polymarket — NV-04 House Election Winner · Steven Horsford (D) 97%
