Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNevada's 4th Congressional District 89.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 5, 26, 8:32 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices Nevada's 4th Congressional District at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms? resolve?
- Which Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.