GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ashley Hinson 59.8%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Ashley Hinson 59.8%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$572
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 10:55 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Iowa Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa · Republicans 56%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Iowa Senate Race · Republican 58%
- Also available on Kalshi — Iowa Senate winner? (Person) · Ashley Hinson 58%
- Also available on Polymarket — Iowa Senate Election Winner · Ashley Hinson (R) 58%
- Also available on Futuur — Iowa's Senate election winner · Republican Party 62%
- Also available on Smarkets — Iowa Senate Election Winner · Republican 52%
