POLYMARKETPolymarket walletSilver tierMusk5
0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38Tracked since Aug 16, 2026
Last 30 days on the whale tape
Verified fills of $1,000 or more observed by CoinRithm. Trade notional, not profit.
Notional traded
$51.6k
Whale fills
20
Buy share
41%
Largest fill
$8.1k
Markets traded
9
Last fill
1h ago
Reported by Polymarket
Profit, rank and holdings as published by the venue for this address. Not computed by CoinRithm.
All-time profit
+$10.4k
Rank #14,136 all-time
Monthly profit
-$8.7k
All-time volume
$4.7M
Open positions (top 25)
$55.3k
Unrealized: -$6.6k
Daily whale activity
Jul 7, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, 16 active days. Notional per UTC day.
Where the money went
Markets ranked by this wallet’s 30-day notional. Green is buy share.
- 3 fills$11.5k
- 5 fills$10.6k
- 3 fills$9.9k
- 3 fills$7.5k
- 2 fills$6.4k
- 1 fills$1.8k
- 1 fills$1.8k
- 1 fills$1.1k
- 1 fills$1.0k
Open positions
Top 25 by current value, as reported by Polymarket.
Recent whale fills
Newest first, last 30 days. Each row links to its market and its on-chain evidence.
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Buy | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | No | 88¢ | $1.8k | Live |
| 1h ago | Buy | Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 100¢ | $1.5k | Live |
| 1h ago | Sell | US recession by end of 2026?US recession by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | $8.1k | Live |
| 2h ago | Sell | Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 95¢ | $2.8k | Live |
| 11h ago | Sell | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal DistrictWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | 99¢ | $1.5k | Live |
| yesterday | Sell | Lula participates in debate before first round?Lula participates in debate before first round? | No | 100¢ | $1.0k | Live |
| yesterday | Buy | Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 98¢ | $2.0k | Live |
| yesterday | Sell | Brazil Presidential ElectionWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 38¢ | $2.5k | Live |
| yesterday | Buy | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal DistrictWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | 97¢ | $4.9k | Live |
| 9d ago | Buy | US recession by end of 2026?US recession by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | $1.6k | Live |
| 9d ago | Buy | Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? | No | 97¢ | $1.1k | Live |
| 9d ago | Buy | US recession by end of 2026?US recession by end of 2026? | No | 88¢ | $1.8k | Live |
| 12d ago | Sell | Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 98¢ | $2.9k | Live |
| 15d ago | Buy | Brazil Presidential ElectionWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 42¢ | $2.1k | Live |
| 17d ago | Buy | Brazil Presidential ElectionWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | $3.0k | Live |
| 19d ago | Buy | Fed Decision in September?Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 88¢ | $1.8k | Live |
| 19d ago | Sell | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 75¢ | $6.9k | Live |
| 20d ago | Sell | Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 99¢ | $1.5k | Live |
| 24d ago | Sell | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 75¢ | $1.5k | Live |
| 24d ago | Sell | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | $1.5k | Live |
Recently settled
Newest 25 settled positions with realized profit, as reported by Polymarket. A sample, not an all-time total.
- Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Yes · Oct 4, 202645¢-$97
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes · Oct 4, 20266¢-$7
- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes · Oct 4, 202653¢+$38
- 52¢-$150
- 98¢+$1.1k
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes · Oct 4, 202632¢+$99
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · Oct 4, 202660¢-$944
- Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes · Oct 4, 202697¢+$21
- Lula participates in debate before first round?No · Oct 4, 202671¢+$747
- Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?No · Oct 4, 202696¢-$112
- Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?No · Oct 4, 202692¢+$42
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes · Oct 4, 20260¢-$0.15
- 43¢+$285
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No · Oct 3, 20268¢-$693
- Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · Oct 3, 202688¢+$102
- Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?No · Oct 3, 202692¢+$16
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes · Oct 3, 202696¢+$0.16
- Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No · Oct 2, 202697¢+$0.02
- Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?Yes · Oct 2, 20262¢-$0.23
- 41¢+$1.6k
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes · Oct 2, 202625¢-$45
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · Oct 2, 202648¢-$129
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No · Oct 1, 202671¢-$4
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No · Oct 1, 202694¢+$7
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes · Oct 1, 202626¢+$130
How to read this page
This is a public on-chain address on Polymarket, not a person page. CoinRithm records the fills of $1,000 or more it observes in the venue’s public feed and keeps those raw fills for 30 days; the daily activity above comes from an append-only per-day rollup kept since Jul 7, 2026. Every dollar figure in the CoinRithm sections is trade notional (shares times price at the fill), never a holding, a position value or a profit. The venue-reported block shows what the venue itself publishes for this address, unchanged. Nothing on this page is financial advice.
Cite this page
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