PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
June 30, 2027 · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 2027 9%
June 30, 2027 9%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$66K
High liquidityOpen interest
$5.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 24, 26, 3:51 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30, 2027
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsPredicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
PolymarketKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh’s departure as Chair of the Federal Reserve of the United States is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve of the United States, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Kevin Warsh has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve of the United States.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? · Before Jan 1, 2031 75%
