Current implied probability
Kevin Warsh 93%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.4% / 7.8%
Spread
77.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.2%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jan 20, 26, 1:29 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kevin Warsh93%
Volume trend
$6Jul 58d of dataJul 17
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
- This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
- Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.