Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Kevin Warsh · —
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Stored reference
Kevin Warsh 97%Leader of 9 outcomes
Kevin Warsh 97%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$3.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6.9K
Bid / Ask
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Kevin WarshSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 20, 26, 1:29 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Christopher WallerLost
Christopher WallerLost
Kevin HassettLost
Kevin HassettLost
OtherLost
Rick RiederLost
Rick RiederLost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Kevin Warsh
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
- This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S. Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Confirmation is defined as approval by the U.S. Senate, whether by a majority vote or by unanimous consent.
