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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

0.5% (24h)FedOne-OffPolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh 88%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$6.8K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.8% / 13.8%

Spread

666.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.8%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jan 20, 26, 1:31 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett
0%
Kevin Hassett
Kevin Hassett
0%
Rick Rieder
Rick Rieder
0%
Rick Rieder
Rick Rieder
0%

Selected outcome

Kevin Warsh88%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
  • Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,101.67+1.26%EthereumETH$1,637.65+0.77%SolanaSOL$64.49+0.21%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe.
  • This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met.
  • The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
  • Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S.
  • Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.