PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJorginho Mello 89%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15
Liquidity
$124.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.2% / 7.4%
Spread
0.2 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Jorginho Mello89%
Compare venues· Jorginho Mello
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 89% | — | $15 | $124.8K | 15 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi68% match · auto | Low | 93% | — | $0 | $417 | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Santa Catarina Governor election winner?
1y
90.3%
2.9%
2.9%
+2 more outcomes
43 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$15Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).