KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Liberal Party 91.8%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Liberal Party 91.8%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$413
Low open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:39 PM UTCOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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KalshiRules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Regional Electoral Court of Santa Catarina
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner · Jorginho Mello 100%