Current implied probability
Liberal Party 90.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$417
Low liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 92.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:39 PMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Liberal Party93%
Compare venues· Liberal Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall68% match · auto | Medium | 89% | — | $15 | $125.1K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Low | 93% | — | $0 | $417 | 31 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner
0.4 pts
89%
50%
50%
+16 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$101.5K
24h Vol$15
POLYMARKETRules
If Liberal Party wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
- If Social Democratic Party wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brazilian Socialist Party wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Popular Unity wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$37Jul 156d of dataJul 25
Related Markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
$980.3KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
$394.1KVivek Ramaswamy: 50%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$355.2KGadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
$164.5KHaley Stevens: 36%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party will win the U.S. House?
$103.7KRepublican Party: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President before 2027?
$29.5KYes: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRules
If Liberal Party wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
- If Social Democratic Party wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Brazilian Socialist Party wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Popular Unity wins the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.