Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia
0.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America23d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Lula 99%-0.4ptLeader of 13 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$148.3
Liquidity
$119K
High liquiditySpread
1.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 10:26 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".