Will Argentina dollarize by...?

0.6% (24h)AdoptionOne-OffPolitics Latin America5mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

December 31, 3%-0.6%

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$17K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

3.1% / 3.5%

Spread

12.9%

Wide spread

7d Change

-6.7%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Oct 31, 25, 3:19 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

June 30,

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

December 31,3%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

Volume trend

$14

Jul 26d of dataJul 7

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Will Argentina dollarize by...?

0.6% (24h)AdoptionOne-OffPolitics Latin America5mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

December 31, 3%-0.6%

Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$17K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

3.1% / 3.5%

Spread

12.9%

Wide spread

7d Change

-6.7%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Oct 31, 25, 3:19 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

June 30,

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

December 31,3%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

Volume trend

$14

Jul 26d of dataJul 7

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Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

$486.8

Yes: 11%

FUTUUR

Will Argentina adopt U.S dollar as its legal tender by 2030?

$250

Yes: 12.4%

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