What are the current odds for [Metaculus] Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.1% as of November 11, 2026.

[Metaculus] Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Nov 29, 23, 10:16 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 3:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/20056/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, before, 00:00 on January 1, 2028, credible sources report that Argentina has removed the peso as a medium of exchange and adopted the US dollar.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.