PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Nicolás Maduro 60.6%+3.3ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$306.4K
Liquidity
$2.2M
High liquiditySpread
1.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
445
7d Change
-24.2 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 6:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
PolymarketNM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketNew Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketNew Mexico Senate margin of victory
KalshiWhich countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
KalshiWill Lula nominate another person to STF before election day?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
- If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
- In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status.
- If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
- If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 66%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — President of Venezuela at the end of 2026 · Delcy Rodríguez 85%
- Also available on Limitless — Venezuela leader end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro 60%
Open markets
US PoliticsKALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $664.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.3pt16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt100%
- September 25+6.5pt93%
- September 30+6.0pt84%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt53.5%
- No change+1.0pt44.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.8pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $33.9M
- 24h Vol
- $480.6K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.9%
- Republicans sweep-0.7pt9.3%
+1 more outcomes
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Ohio Senate Election Winner
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Venezuela leader end of 2026??
- Polymarket prices Nicolás Maduro at 61% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Venezuela leader end of 2026? resolve?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Venezuela leader end of 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
- Where else is Venezuela leader end of 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Limitless.