PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 98%-0.6ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.9K
Liquidity
$176K
High liquiditySpread
1.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
40
7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 13, 26, 9:43 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States.
- Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.1pt100%
- $25M+3.5pt99%
- $50M+7.9pt99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Total Vol
- $29.3M
- 24h Vol
- $982.2K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.5%
- D-House, R-Senate36.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3M
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
- James Talarico+2.0pt49.5%
- Total Vol
- $11.2M
- 24h Vol
- $470.5K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.6pt56.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+4.0pt58.4%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt41.6%
- Total Vol
- $2M
- 24h Vol
- $251.8K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 98% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date? resolve?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Where else is Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.