PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 93%+0.0%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$387.6
Liquidity
$77.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
92.0% / 94.0%
Spread
2.2%
Tight spread7d Change
+1.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Feb 13, 26, 9:43 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes93%
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 93% | — | $387.6 | $77.6K | 6 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 80% | — | — | — | 34 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Xi Jinping visit the US in 2026?
5mo
80%
20%
Community forecast19 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States.
- Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.3k14.8%POLYMARKETNoHugewinner9d ago
POLYMARKETNoHugewinner9d agoVolume trend
$388Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States.
- Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.