KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityElaine Pelino 69.6%+1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
62.0% / 71.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Feb 26, 26, 7:00 PMSep 8, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Elaine Pelino71%
Compare venues· Elaine Pelino
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall90% match · verified | Low | 62% | 0pt | $0 | $26.3K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 71% | +9pt | $1 | $5.4K | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
1.3 pts1mo
-0.5pt65.3%
-1.3pt32.6%
1.1%
+18 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$25.4K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Aaron Guckian wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Elaine Pelino wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Robert Raimondo wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1Jul 216d of dataJul 26
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If Aaron Guckian wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Elaine Pelino wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Robert Raimondo wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.