Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
14.5% (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilitySwitzerland 48%-14.5%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$148.3K
Liquidity
$518.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
47.0% / 48.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 23, 26, 2:49 AMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Switzerland48%
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On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
- This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
- The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
- Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves.