PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$118.3K
Liquidity
$131.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.4%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 9:26 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
