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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

35.5% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin AmericaCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 16%-0.3%
Market quality

68 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$3.1K

Liquidity

$15.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 12:11 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes16%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
  • A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
  • Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.