PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.8%
Spread
1.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
21
7d Change
-6.6 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will French journalist Christophe Gleizes be pardoned or released from Algerian detention before December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
- A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
- Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
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- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 95% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? resolve?
- Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.