At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56.1% as of October 24, 2026.

When does At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026 resolve?

At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if 20 or more individuals who received pardons for January 6-related charges are reported by major news outlets (ABC News, NBC News, etc.) to be involved in new politically motivated violence by December 31, 2026.

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