PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
4.1M-4.3M 30.6%+2.5ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$65.8K
High liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-42.4 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:23 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketNorth Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
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PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 North Carolina senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina's Senate election winner
FutuurRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket prices 4.1M-4.3M at 31% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout resolve?
- North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
- Where else is North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.