Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?
2.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
North Carolina Senate · —
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Stored price
North Carolina Senate Stored bid–ask47%–52%Collected: Last trade: 50% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 50%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.
North Carolina Senate Stored bid–ask47%–52%Collected: Last trade: 50% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 50%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$70.4
Open interest
$7.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
North Carolina SenateSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 7:30 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · North Carolina Senate
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If North Carolina Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among the listed options, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used.
Rules for each outcome
- North Carolina Senate
- If North Carolina Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among the listed options, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Georgia Senate
- If Georgia Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among the listed options, then the market resolves to Yes.
