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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. North Carolina Senate margin of victory
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

8.0% (24h)One-OffPolitics1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Republicans, 1+ pts
Republicans, 1+ pts 15%-8.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3.5

Liquidity

$38.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 20.0%

Spread

42.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 28, 26, 1:02 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Republicans, 1+ pts15%

Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate election in North Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

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Texas Senate margin of victory

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South Carolina Senate margin of victory

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$6.5
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$3.7
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California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

$1.2
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI

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Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate election in North Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.