PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 6-9% 27.1%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$82.4K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 6:36 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
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PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 North Carolina senate election?
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FutuurSouth Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
The 2026 North Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
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- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
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- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 6-9% at 27% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 North Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.