PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? — Lula 0%-12.7pt
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? — Lula 0%-12.7ptMarket quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26.8K
Liquidity
$23.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.7%
Comments
2
7d Change
-16.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 7:52 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3? — LulaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by which date?
PolymarketBy the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Manifold MarketsWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Flavio Bolsonaro's Polymarket odds to win Brazil's election be above 65% at 8:00 am ET, October 5?
Manifold MarketsFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurRules
Each market in this event will resolve to "Lula" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on that market's listed date.
- Each market in this event will resolve to "Bolsonaro" if Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value is higher than Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on that market's listed date.
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's and Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50.
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
