PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 18%Leader of 9 outcomes
December 31 18%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$13.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$89.7K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
146
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Feb 23, 26, 6:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 31Lost
May 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
October 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kash Patel departure announced?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Kash Patel out by...? · September 30 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — Kash Patel out as FBI Director? · Before Jan 1, 2029 82%