KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 72%+3.0pt
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 8:30 PMNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes72%
Volume trend
$4.3kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If Kash Patel has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.