Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82%
Forecasters
47
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 25, 25, 7:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:58 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
[image]Resolution criteria
- Kash Patel became the ninth Director of the FBI on February 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Patel is no longer serving as FBI Director before December 31, 2026.
- This includes resignation, removal, or any other departure from the position.
- Resolution will be determined by official FBI leadership announcements or credible news reporting of his departure.
- The market resolves NO if Patel remains FBI Director through December 31, 2026.