Will at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.2%
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 14, 24, 5:40 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
The list consists of 60 people from an appendix in his book, as reported here: https://rollcall.com/2024/12/09/trumps-pick-to-lead-fbi-identified-government-gangsters/
- This question will resolve YES if and only if at least five of those 60 people are incarcerated for any reason as of December 31, 2026 (a little more than two years from the inception of the question).
- Update 2024-14-12 (PST): - Temporary jailing counts towards the resolution criteria - individuals only need to be physically incarcerated on December 31, 2026, regardless of conviction status (AI summary of creator comment)