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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

AITechYearlyCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$8.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.5%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Dec 11, 25, 8:37 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
  • The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient.
  • Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
  • The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient.
  • Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.