PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$13.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
9
7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 8:33 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · No
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient.
- Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.