LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 17.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 17.1%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$521.2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 26, 26, 12:13 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel departure announced?
KalshiWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel leave office by November 4, 2026?
PredictItWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Kash Patel out by...? · December 31 18%
- Also available on Kalshi — Kash Patel out as FBI Director? · Before Jan 1, 2028 91%
